If you've struggled to believe that so many people voted for Trump, it's because they didn't

I know, I know, I know! When democracy is under threat, it feels like a betrayal to question the election process, but it's more of a betrayal to ignore the data when it says that something happened!

There's a lot to this and some of it is a little dense in the statistics to follow, but I'll do my best to break it down.

First, I'd challenge you to consider - if Trump and Elon believed that they could get away with it, is there any doubt that they would do it? The only things in question is whether they were brazen enough to try and whether they were successful.

Ok, so I've got background in data analysis, but I'm no statistician. I'm not asking you to take my word on it. I'm just trying to get the word out in ways that can be easily understood. These fine people have started a new non-profit just to do this work and they deserve all of the credit. Most of what's to follow comes from their efforts.

https://electiontruthalliance.org/eta

Here's a recent video from them that also goes through everything below if you'd rather watch that: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKDw2rlLAs0

The enemy has been flooding us with so much, every day, that it's easy to forget about the things that outraged us and that raised alarms last week, let alone a few months ago. The above are really incontrovertible facts. And when considered all together, it becomes more of a question of "how" rather than "if".

The rest of the post is a lot, so I figured that I'd start with the TL;DR.

I'm also going to add here my plea to all of Imgur. I love this community. I believe in it. And I know how closely it ties in to Reddit and of course how huge that community is. I'm going to ask you all do something that's normally anathema to us. Please repost this. Repost it like your lives depend on it, because just maybe they do.

To that end, I'm hoping that some of my favorite, popular imgurians can help amplify this message. Please steal from me just as I've stolen much of this from @Aximilion .

@deafkitten @celeryman7 @tinyoctopus @iamthecomet @codyburkett @abbiistabbii

Let's dig in to the deets!

The >200 bomb threats alone should have warranted, not a recount, but a whole new special election. It would have been monstrously expensive, but we knew that Russian emails interrupted access to voting locations all throughout the swing states, especially in metro areas. This was so targeted that there's no doubt that they were trying to suppress the vote in these areas.

If Trump genuinely won all of these swing states, why would they have needed to do that? How many Americans in the swing states were denied an opportunity to have their votes counted that day? How were we all ok with just not restoring that opportunity for them?

Every county that changed party alignment in 2024 changed from blue to red. That almost NEVER happens. Reagan was absolutely the most popular Republican presidential candidate in our lifetimes and even when he won 49 out of 50 states, he still had 30 counties flip from red to blue. Trump would have had to have been more popular than Reagan to pull this off.

The last bullet ties in the same as above - The last time there was a clean sweep of all of the swing states was Ronald Reagan in 1984. There's no way that Trump was that popular. It just doesn't track with anything that any of us know anecdotally.

The more valid statistics point is that he "won" the popular vote with less than 2% (48.33% - H vs 49.80% - T), but somehow swept every single swing state. The probability of both occurring simultaneously is absurd. You can't be both barely more popular and also get a landslide in the states that you were most likely to lose.

More anecdotal evidence, but an exceptional point! If you're watching social media, there are huge protest turnouts in every state opposing Trump (and Musk). People are standing up to reject him and everything he stands for. And while there are definitely MAGAts out there defending him online, when it comes to them showing up in person to oppose the protesters...they just aren't there.

The most likely explanation is that they don't have anywhere near the same numbers. They tricked us into thinking they did, but they DO NOT!

So that leads to "how" and that's where people may get a bit squeamish. We wanted to defend how reliable our voting tech is against MAGA so hard, that we forgot that no tech is fail-proof.

I think in some ways that this is the most damning evidence, though maybe some of the hardest to explain. I'll do my best. When the ETA analyzed the Early Voting results they found something that makes no statistical sense.

In the above graph, each voting machine in Clark Co, NV is represented by 3 dots, a red, a blue, and a green. This is easiest to see on the far right of the graph. Each vertical triplet is representative of one machine. The positions of the dots vertically tells you who got what percent of the vote for that machine. The positions horizontally show how many ballots were processed by that machine.

Now look at the left side of the graph (left of the dotted line). You'll notice a lot of randomness. So any given machine may be in a location that got more Harris votes or more Trump votes. And you wouldn't necessarily expect that the total number of votes counted would impact that. The left side shows this.

When a machine counted only a couple hundred votes or fewer, there's a good mix of machines that Harris won vs Trump won. You'd expect one side to win more, but for it to be mixed up like this. But for those machines that counted more, the story changes.

After a certain number of votes counted, machines started showing overwhelmingly in favor of Trump. Sure, it's theoretically possible that he could have won more, but it should NOT have been this consistent. It should have been just as mixed up as the machines on the left. Another thing to consider is that the machines that would have counted the most votes would have been those in the most urban areas - which always favor democrats. If anything, you'd expect this pattern to be reversed.

This doesn't make sense if there was no interference.

The simplest explanation is that the machines were programmed to flip votes from Harris to Trump after counting several hundred to achieve a 40 / 60 split. This is also consistent with the fact that Harris lost in Early Voting (which seems unlikely on it's own), but crushed Trump in Mail in votes. You would expect these to be similar groups of voters and the results to be close to the same.

Republicans usually do best on Election Day, so Trump's win there is less suspicious, (but maybe should still be looked at). But there's no reason that Mail in votes and Early votes would have such drastically different results.

Video clips from ETA that explain more thoroughly.

They joked about it before hand. They were bragging! The following aren't proof of having done it, but they sure as hell show intention to do so.

For everyone who made it this far, thank you for taking the time!

I've been struggling for months with trying to figure out a viable path out of this hellscape and also with feeling so massively disappointed in my fellow Americans. It was shocking to think that so many more people had fallen for the lies, the propaganda, and the hate than I had previously thought. I couldn't imagine how we'd get out of it any time soon if that were so.

But it's not! We were lied to about each other. They sowed distrust amongst us and the protests in recent days help show that to be true. In the previously shared video, there's a point where Nathan estimates that possibly up to 70% of the population actually voted for Harris. We're not outnumbered. THEY ARE!

Source queued up to that part:
https://youtu.be/cKDw2rlLAs0?si=ouv7ySvfnU1olMzp&t=788

Please get the word out and fast so that we can turn this around asap. Every day, Trump and his cronies are working to steal more of our money, our data, and our rights. We can undo this damage, but the longer we wait, the more will need to be rebuilt. Thank you!