Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Update: 3/15/2020

Worldwide View: Dots are large/small to indicate number of cases, and placed in the geographic center of the affected region. Current Global Map/Charts created and maintained by Johns Hopkins University
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
*Plague.Inc symbols have been continually added for a bit of levity.
*Updated today
************ATTENTION! This post is out of date!
Most current update: https://imgur.com/gallery/8hMVtnq

Europe Close Up (sorry for poor resolution- maps are becoming somewhat useless at this point....))

North America Close Up (Sorry Northern Canada)

South America close up

Africa Close up

Australia close-up

Asia/Middle East Area close Up

Alternate map.

*Note. This fatality rate is based on current recovered/deaths. The average worldwide is about 3.4% as per WHO.
Updates since the last post.
Currently Infected: (+10,684)
Deaths: (+680)
Recovered: (+1,531)

Age and risk of the virus.*NOTE* This is the info we have from the virus in China, last updated in February.
From WorldoMeters.

Daily Cases outside China: Chart from WorldoMeters
*Chart is for end of the previous day (sometimes.)

Total Cases outside China: Chart from WorldoMeters - Linear
*Chart is for end of the day- sometimes doesn't update by the time this post goes live.

Total Cases outside China: Chart from WorldoMeters - Logarithmic
*Chart is for end of the day- sometimes doesn't update by the time this post goes live.
Grid view

A breakdown of United States cases. Combining Worldometers and NBC News.

List of total countries with ACTIVE cases- to offset the map. Data from Worldometers

Updated with a clarification! The scale is being revised. I hope this adds some clarity for individual situations.

Current United States Uh-Oh rating: 7.3/10

International: 7.5-8 depending on location.

Scale has been adjusted from 6.7 to 7.3 on 3/14/2020 due to accelerated closures and government declarations.

User @gravyandfries is running Covid19 Supply deliveries for those at risk, sick, or elderly. Link: https://imgur.com/gallery/wOQDQyk
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A new website is officially in the works and will be going live in the next few days to a week! It's aimed to be a much more broad conglomeration of news to compliment Imgur posts (I'll still be here!) But I'll be updating it with similar, condensed news in categories like Technology, Good news, Environmental news, and Preparedness tips. Couldn't have done it without @gtmd93! I can't wait to launch it, and hope everyone enjoys it! (A comments section will be added to discord for feedback)

There is currently just a placeholder: the website will be www.bunker-report.com
I'll put the 'going live' announcement here when that happens! It's obviously still under construction.
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Due to a rush to purchase emergency supplies and large gatherings at such places, it is recommended to avoid doing so unless absolutely necessary.
***************************************Thank you all to have sent/continue to send news articles; I do receive them but can't reply to everyone with the increasing number of messages, but try to get back to who I can!
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Every day updates vs every other day survey: https://www.strawpoll.me/19491804
Graduate Work Survey 1 (potential info for a thesis/paper) May branch out after this one:https://www.strawpoll.me/19491809
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Thank you thefuzziestofbutts for the link, and choicebutts2 for the idea: Alexa store uh-oh app!
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B085Q3VN2N/?ref-suffix=ss_copy
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I want to thank everyone for their support and positive feedback! If I don't reply to your thanks or comments, it's not because I didn't see them- I just can't answer everyone, but I try to get to at least a few!
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All these lovely images provided by @Sequ892

Bunker Communications Hub Discord Server: Feel free to join our growing community! New Area-specific channels added by @TheRealWhaleLord (The Administrator) more coming soon!

*Contact details added. Feel free to sign up to be a source for information in your local area and connect with others, as well as talk with users in 'hot zones' (Areas affected by the virus.)
https://discord.gg/3fyuSeA

Twitter: @BunkerJohn2

- "CDC now recommends that, for the next 8 weeks, events with more than 50 people are canceled throughout the U.S." -BNO News

- "Argentina's president says border will be closed to foreigners from all countries in effort to stop coronavirus" -BNO News

- "Massachusetts Governor Baker orders all schools to close, bans gatherings with more than 25 people, and limits restaurants to offering take-out only - WBZ" -BNO News

- "French government preparing order which requires people to stay at home to stop the spread of coronavirus, sources say, according to Reuters. It's unclear whether a final decision has been taken." -BNO News

- "California Governor Newsom urges all those who are 65 years and older or have chronic conditions to isolate themselves at home, orders the closure of bars and nightclubs" -BNO News

- "Illinois has joined Ohio in ordering the closure of all bars and restaurants for inside dining" -BNO News

- "Scandinavian Airlines says it is suspending most of its operations due to "essentially non-existing demand for air travel" -BNO News

- "Puerto Rico declares daily curfew from 9 p.m. to 5 a.m. due to coronavirus; non-essential stores, cinemas, and gyms close at 6 p.m." -BNO News

- "Hoboken, New Jersey announces daily 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew in effort to stop coronavirus" -BNO News

- "With panic buying on Main Street and fear-driven sell-offs on Wall Street, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates to near zero on Sunday in another emergency move to help shore up the U.S. economy amid the rapidly escalating coronavirus pandemic." -Reuters

- "Mainland China reported an overall drop in new coronavirus infections on Sunday, but major cities such as Beijing and Shanghai continued to wrestle with cases involving infected travelers arriving from abroad. " -Reuters

- "More major retailers said on Sunday they would shut stores in the United States to limit the spread of the coronavirus, including Nike, Under Armour, and Lululemon Athletica, a day after similar moves by several other U.S. retailers. " -Reuters

- "All Dutch schools, cafes, restaurants and sport clubs were ordered to be closed on Sunday as the government sought to prevent the further spread of coronavirus in the Netherlands. " -Reuters

- " France and Spain joined Italy in imposing lockdowns on tens of millions of people, Australia ordered self-isolation of arriving foreigners and other countries extended entry bans as the world sought to contain the spreading coronavirus. " -Reuters

- "The three states bearing the brunt of the coronavirus pandemic in Europe have all recorded their highest death tolls for a single day." -BBC

- (UK) "Every Briton over the age of 70 will be told "within the coming weeks" to stay at home for an extended period to protect themselves from coronavirus.

When it happens, they will be asked to stay home for "a very long time", Health Secretary Matt Hancock said.

The government is to release social distancing advice for elderly people on Monday - but they will not yet be asked to self-isolate for long periods." -BBC

- "US airports have been thrown into chaos as new coronavirus health screening measures for people returning from Europe come into force.

Long queues formed as travellers waited for hours for the screenings before passing through customs." -BBC

- "Austria is banning gatherings of more than five people from Monday, and the Republic of Ireland is asking pubs to shut until 29 March." -BBC

(If there is something that you've found that you think should be here, please let me know! =)

- No freaking out. Take a deep breath. Did you do that? Ok, good, now you can keep reading.

....you didn't take a deep breath. Do that, then continue reading. NOW you did it? Ok, continue!

- The virus is named SARS-CoV-2, the diseases it causes COVID-19
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/02/11/802352351/new-coronavirus-gets-an-official-name-from-the-world-health-organization

- "It takes five days on average for people to start showing the symptoms of coronavirus, scientists have confirmed. Most people who develop symptoms do so on or around day five.
Anyone who is symptom-free by day 12 is unlikely to get symptoms, but they may still be infectious carriers." -BBC"
https://annals.org/aim/fullarticle/2762808/incubation-period-coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19-from-publicly-reported

- "...the median duration of viral shedding (being contagious) was 20·0 days (IQR 17·0–24·0) from illness onset, but the virus was continuously detectable until death in non-survivors (table 2; figure 1). The shortest observed duration of viral shedding among survivors was 8 days, whereas the longest was 37 days." - Thelancet
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30566-3/fulltext

- CDC Telebriefing held on 3/10/2020
https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2020/t0309-covid-19-update.html

- Symptoms are similar to that of the common cold, but can lead to more serious developments such as pneumonia and organ failure.

- The greatest at-risk population is the elderly and those with existing, underlying illnesses.

"“We do not understand the disease pyramid properly”, adds Whitworth. “There are people who are asymptomatic, people who are infected with mild disease, people infected with severe disease, and then the people who die. It looks like 15–20% of confirmed cases are severely ill, and something like 3% have died. But we have no idea how this fits in with the total number of cases”. "- The Lancet

- Like other respiratory infections, the coronavirus spreads between people in droplets from coughs and sneezes....it is still too early to know what its death rate will be. " - Reuters

- "...experts say much is still unknown, including its mortality rate and transmission routes." -Reuters

- Due to the nature of the virus, it is present in both the respiratory tract and the intestinal tract (and therefore is present in feces of the infected.)

- The Virus appears to be able to infect individuals before symptoms show in some cases. This is a important development. This means the incubation period (average of 10 days, 1-14) is ALSO the time you can be infecting others, vs other pathogens where you have to be showing symptoms to be infectious, such as SARS, to which the virus is 70% similar to, genetically.
https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2020/t0214-covid-19-update.html.html

- The Virus has been declared a global health emergency by the World Health Organization

- "Human-to-human transmission of 2019-nCoV has been confirmed, with an R0 of 1·4–2·5. Many more cases are expected. On Jan 30, 2020, WHO declared a public health emergency of international concern. “The main reason for this declaration is not because of what is happening in China, but because of what is happening in other countries”, commented WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom." - TheLancet https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30056-4/fulltext

- There are confirmed cases of human-to-human transmission outside China.

- Real-world application suggests the virus can live hours to a day, on surfaces. More tests are ongoing.
https://www.journalofhospitalinfection.com/article/S0195-6701(20)30046-3/fulltext
https://www.businessinsider.com/how-long-can-coronavirus-live-on-surfaces-how-to-disinfect-2020-3

- The Virus has been successfully grown in a lab outside China, aiding research efforts.

- A large study has been released evaluating who is at the most risk. Thus far, it appears to be elderly/hospital workers.http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51

- The virus shows potential in being able to infect the nervous system through the lungs.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32104915

I'd advise everyone to get their Prescriptions filled, as the virus has now caused its first drug manufacturing shortage. If possible, see if a 3 month plan is available (or a higher dose to allow halving, giving an extra month.)
https://www.businessinsider.com/fda-announces-first-coronavirus-drug-shortage-2020-2

Also, get enough cold/flu medications if you do get sick.

And, as a user brought up, don't forget your furry (or scaly) friends. Get some extra pet food/accessories.Another good point by Bubaloo2001: If you have babies and/or young children, you should invest in an extra supply of diapers, wipes, formula, etc."

Additional 'what to buys'
https://www.fema.gov/media-library-data/1390846764394-dc08e309debe561d866b05ac84daf1ee/checklist_2014.pdf

Be sure to sanitize your phones! Washing your hands doesn't do much good if your phone is nasty.
It varies from device to device- alcohol/cleaning solution can damage some screens. So look up your specific device first!
In general, isopropyl alcohol wipes work, as do general purpose cleaning wipes (PROVIDED it won't damage your screen, seen your individual device details)
https://thewirecutter.com/blog/disinfect-your-phone-coronavirus/

The same goes for wallets, and car steering wheels- anything you touch regularly! *********To those who are just starting their preparations, I suggest these simple beginnings*********
Water, Food, First Aid, Flashlight/batteries, Radio.

-Water: Best would be dedicated containers, but in a pinch, the 1-gallon jugs work just fine (just don't last beyond a year or two) And they're cheap! Aim for about 1-2 gal/person/day.
*This is in case of utility failure- something that can occur in any disaster. While not an immediate threat in a pandemic, it is still a possibility as things progress.

-Food: Canned food is great! It's cheap, lasts forever, but a bit bulky. Just buy a bit extra than you usually do (if you eat canned foods,) otherwise just put together canned 'meals' and go from there!
-First Aid Kit: If you don't have any training, that's fine- a typical wal-mart one will do fine. Maybe snag some extra medications that you may need (antibiotic ointment, allergy meds, etc.)
-Batteries/Flashlight- LED is a great option and cheap nowadays!
-Radio- any radio off amazon/that can receive emergency channels will work. Goal is to be able to get information if the power is out.
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Concerns are now of the capacity of our healthcare system. The numbers will overload hospitals and cause significant disruption and additional fatalities, as is seen in Italy.

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/03/suddenly-the-er-is-collapsing-a-doctors-stark-warning-from-italys-coronavirus-epicentre

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FEMA recommends 1 week of supplies for a general crisis- this would be a good time to make sure that's in place at a bare minimum for any crisis. A pandemic requires significantly more supplies than a week (months.)

The discovered contagious incubation period, 9 day surface survival time, and confirmed human-to-human transmission is a disturbing find, and this continues further watching with caution. A high R0 (R-Naught), how many people are infected per one sick, is also rather high.

Resources: https://www.ready.gov/kit

https://www.readyrating.org/Resource-Center/All-Resources/shelter-in-place-supplies-checklist
https://www.thereadystore.com/diy/1608/9-essentials-sheltering-place/

I'll keep these updates coming daily, stay safe everyone, and thank you for reading,
-Bunker J.https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/06/coronavirus-testing-failure-123166

Any and all support is greatly appreciated as these daily posts/answering questions is all done in my free time amid a full time job/graduate work. And...well, bills. =P

News will never be locked behind a paywall.

Patreon supporters will get an email notification with a condensed update that links to here. (And access to any fun things I add with tiers- laminated uh-oh scales, knick-knacks, etc. I am open to suggestions, by the way!
https://www.patreon.com/bunkerjohn

https://ko-fi.com/bunkerjohn
I've shifted to Ko-Fi from gofundme, as someone asked for an alternative, and this one is more sustainable, I think. While I don't drink coffee...just replace that with an MRE!
I cannot thank those who have supported me enough in this, I really do appreciate it!

New Website: www.bunker-report.com *Not yet live

Maps and Charts:https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ , https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 ,https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/coronavirus-map-confirmed-cases-2020-n1120686
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https://twitter.com/BNODesk/
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa/u-s-death-toll-hits-65-from-coronavirus-as-fed-takes-aggressive-action-to-bolster-economy-idUSKBN2120RY
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-china-toll/china-sees-fewer-coronavirus-cases-wary-of-international-travelers-idUSKBN213024?il=0
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-nike/more-u-s-retailers-shut-stores-to-limit-coronavirus-spread-idUSKBN2120KQ?il=0
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coroavirus-netherlands/netherlands-to-close-schools-restaurants-in-coronavirus-fight-idUSKBN2120KG?il=0
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus/lockdowns-and-entry-bans-imposed-around-the-world-to-fight-coronavirus-idUSKBN21208S?il=0
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51901976
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51895873
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-51895246